Kevin Drum, writing for Mother Jones:
Until now, one of Apple's big advantages in the market has been the depth and quality of its app ecosystem. But as its market share keeps decreasing, that will go away. Developers will write apps for Android first, and then port their code over to iOS later. All the newest and coolest stuff will be available on Android phones first, and as that happens the all-important teen demo will slip away. Apple's obsessively tight control over what you're allowed to do with your phone will start to seem creepy, not smart, and their single-minded dedication to a single form factor will become an albatross.
Not right away, of course. It will take a while. But there's a tipping point where declining market share turns into a death spiral. If that happens, the iPhone will become cousin to the Mac: a niche product that spins off some money but not much else.
Three things here:
Maybe if you're one of those folks who measure success by market share alone, the Mac is niche, but anecdotally speaking, I see far more Macs around than Windows boxes. So, you know, "niche" is relative.
I like Drum's work, especially his politically-charged musings, but this article left me disappointed. He's better than this drivel.